We're back on land in the Top 14. After the pot for a few weeks ago with the friendly matches, there was the transfer market is particularly active in certain places (in the Paris region or on the Var coast, for example), we kept an eye on the Tri-Nations and exploits of the All Blacks (we will return this week), but it is this weekend the circus again. A little over ten months of competition for a new champion. We have not finished writing, read, comment, and you with us. And then the European Cup will be added to all this, tests of fifteen of France, the tournament and the World Cup, already, which will profile. But back to our championship. Who will be crowned there? Because it is his purpose to the Top 14 choose a successor to Clermont. Unless the Auvergne does succeeds itself. Launch predictions. Not just in the air like that, take some hints or some a priori criteria reliable or, say, goals, techniques, and consider them to try to know in advance who will be Champion. These criteria do not take into account the chemistry of a group or trust status, the risk of injury, etc.. Let us consider only the budget of each of the protagonists of the Top 14 2010-2011, enrollment (number of international players past and present, turnover) and coaches (past success, longevity in their current role). The schedule is below. And here is the classification that gives .... Toulouse with its string of international - it's just to say: 20 last season! - And well above its budget (9 million more than the second, Clermont), not to mention the string of titles won by Guy Noves is always well ahead of this ranking very theoretical. On paper, as they say. But ultimately, this is precisely what will be interesting to watch to collect on the season progresses, the part of the human in the results (see Castres last season or even two years Perpignan). Compare the classification with the average real clubs, highlighted in this classification that we present here. Coach (s): 1 point per record (a final accession Pro D2 Top 14 is considered a title), 0.5 points per final; longevity: 1 point for the second season, 3 for 3rd, 5 for more than three seasons. International: 1 point for international player in 2009-2010 in a major nation (Six Nations, Tri Nations, Argentina, Pacific Islanders), 0.5 for all other international, 0.5 points for any player who has been at least once in his international career and is no longer at the latest since the summer of 2009. The proposed classification includes the teams most likely yes. For the game schedule (which is also interesting), we find a few teams to places that are far from their ranking last year. We can say that within a few months if Toulon, SF, Racing ... continue their momentum or not. Apparently seen have been touched by the fever prognosis occurring since the beginning of the summer. the better, I like it too even if I am the worst prognosticator of the great Southwest. However, I have some reservations about the criteria chosen, and In particular with the budget of the clubs. The structures being different in different cities, regions, club that seems to me that the budget is not representative as such.Clermont and Toulouse, for example, are owner of their stadium, and the operating costs are included in the budget. What happens when we compare the total payroll (even if we can have the same remark as above) or payroll team coaching pro players + pro?. One might also think of the surface infrastructure of training, the number of "machine" at the disposal of the club, with a weighting system (ie: the new stadium vs. yoke. Bench muscle) etc.. It is obvious that the criteria could be more refined, but I wanted sth simple and it would have gone crazy in calculations with, moreover, a real difficulty getting the right information. Here it is speaking without being too complicated. A blog rugby, without taking itself seriously, analyzes the world of rugby and made the info on the net other than a disposable commodity and hollow. Join us. ..

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